The Iran Deal

Intro

This blog has never been intended to be used to voice political perspectives but as the tension between the current US administration and Iran seems to increase, staying quiet would mean accepting the development. I do not think that what I write here will have any impact on global events, but at least it lets me vent my emotions in a structured way,

Moving forward, this blog will continue to be a place for innovation management, economic theory and novel thoughts on the future.

To negotiate

Mike Pompeo recently presented a list of what Iran needs to agree on before a new deal with Iran can be negotiated. The list includes:

  1. Abandon nuclear program
  2. Stop uranium enrichment
  3. Provide IAEA access to nuclear sites
  4. End development of ballistic missiles
  5. Release US citizens
  6. End support to terrorist groups like Hamas
  7. Respect sovereignty of Iraqi government
  8. End military support of Houthi rebels
  9. Withdraw Iranian forces from Syria

and more…

First, one should ask: “Why would Iran negotiate with a nation whose words are not worth the paper they are written on?”. Once Donald Trump left the jcpoa nuclear agreement, which was signed by all major world powers together with Iran in 2015 and which had taken years to negotiate, he unilaterally threw US credibility overboard. To be frank, the US has no credibility in complicated diplomatic relations any longer.

Second, if one comes up with a reason as to why Iran should bother initiating negotiations with the US again, one should ask why it would not be reasonable to give the following list to the US as a pre-requisite for negotiations; The US needs to:

  1. Abolish nuclear weapons
  2. Close most military bases abroad and stop supporting jihadi terrorists
  3. Substantially decrease its military spending and instead invest in massive infrastructure programs in the US which benefit Americans, thus bringing millions of americans out of poverty
  4. Commit to engage in diplomacy rather than aggression, violence and oppression
  5. Stop supporting various tyrannical and autocratic governments around the world
  6. Bring individuals such as George W. Bush, Donald Rumsfeld, Dick Cheney, John Bolton and others who crafted and/or executed the illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003 to court under the accusation of crimes against humanity
  7. Respect other nations sovereignty and end all economic warfare against sovereign nations
  8. Live by its values of democracy, freedom and wealth distribution instead of exporting oppression, violence and inequality.

A reasonable person might see that if only 50% of the items on the latter list above were to be realized, the world would become a much more peaceful and prosperous place. Unfortunately, the latter list will most likely be laughed at as any actions that threatens the US´s need to use violence will not be acceptable from a US perspective. In the same way, any list that impedes Iran’s development, in terms of developing an economy which is independent of oil and thus based on nuclear power,  or endangers its ability to defend itself against external aggressors will be seen as unacceptable and laughed at.

Conclusion

Thus, the only logical conclusion of Mike Pompeo´s list would be that there cannot be any negotiation and he showed no intention of there ever being one given the current US administration. Consequently, one could argue that the US is using the language of aggression and oppression which happens to be the same language through which Mafia leaders, gangsters and other criminals use in order to black mail people.

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